AFKFAN
0x33bfe0943fc7fc01909fb7c7fb27dfe55195e557
- Realised P&L
- $239.89
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $87.75
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.63at 0.196Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
- +$84.67at 0.195Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$65.20at 0.201Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (March 22)
- +$63.27at 0.300Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$55.33at 0.030Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:31 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4124758645 | $14.50 |
| 09-16 16:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.589999991 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 16:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 16:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6179999913 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 16:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 03:26 | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999925 | $24.09 |
| 06-19 16:38 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.18 | $25.11 |
| 06-19 06:30 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999978 | $73.09 |
| 06-19 06:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.184 | $28.39 |
| 06-19 06:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.41 | $22.78 |
| 06-19 06:27 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.238 | $25.36 |
| 06-18 12:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.8419600157 | $42.96 |
| 06-16 15:26 | France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |
| 06-16 15:23 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.174999995 | $27.00 |
| 06-16 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |