starry007
0x33bdf81d2a606acc5dfb469405de862b5c2ef5fe
- Realised P&L
- $-6.56
- Volume
- $112.80
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.80at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?
- +$2.20at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?
- +$2.05at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?
- +$1.01at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?
- +$0.70at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.095 | $0.47 |
| 11-02 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.74 |
| 11-02 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.18 |
| 11-01 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.04 |
| 11-01 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.25 |
| 10-31 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.50 |
| 10-29 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.07 |
| 10-24 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 24? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.17 |