PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StudyPrediction

0x33bcb6e9bd44be709122b2940c55e34f1a7e37dc

Realised P&L
$-12.9k
Volume
$33.17M
Markets traded
20,103
Open portfolio
$41.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded20,103
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · No0.2690.245$2.5k−$244.55
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings · Yes0.9740.980$2.3k+$12.11
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.7100.754$2.3k+$133.21
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No0.9470.962$2.2k+$34.34
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.8820.988$2.2k+$234.14
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9450.963$1.9k+$36.00
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? · No0.8700.919$1.8k+$99.00
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · No0.8300.848$1.7k+$35.00
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · No0.8300.795$1.6k−$70.00
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No0.8800.914$1.4k+$52.03
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov · Denis Shapovalov0.3600.275$1.4k−$425.00
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South? · No0.7280.880$1.1k+$192.56
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · No0.5200.525$1.0k+$9.56
Will Republic of Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3? · No0.8990.905$977.40+$6.20
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? · Yes0.4650.486$972.00+$42.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 18:21Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 3.5BUY0.11$0.11
11-01 14:11Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsBUY0.57$1.0k
11-01 01:42Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$3.0k
10-31 18:48Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?BUY0.44$440.00
10-31 18:16Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.96545875$965.46
10-31 17:17Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
10-31 16:11Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.9968802033$3.0k
10-30 19:28Game 2: Duration Over/Under 31:30 min?BUY0.54$1.1k
10-30 19:28Game 1: Duration Over/Under 31:30 min?BUY0.54$998.54
10-30 18:54Will LOS win Worlds 2026?BUY0.001$6.52
10-30 12:34Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.47$79.07
10-30 00:07Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)BUY0.66$94.77
10-29 14:09Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)BUY0.998$2.0k
10-28 00:04Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.47$940.00
10-27 18:01Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.46$11.39