ADLuke
0x33b47d50956de6c854148bf5afa5165fcf83cb03
- Realised P&L
- $-120.00
- Volume
- $722.70
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $25.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.017 | $25.17 | +$5.18 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:34 | Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0131085594 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 13:49 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.1149020096 | $50.00 |
| 01-27 09:10 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 10:10 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |