tobimateu
0x33aef2684d85843284238d04a4e1066430eab13e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.69
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $5.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.011 | $2.30 | −$0.88 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $2.25 | −$1.22 |
| Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 25 2026? · No | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.90at 0.300Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 07:28 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 05-29 07:28 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 05-25 16:30 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.12 |
| 05-24 14:01 | Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 13:56 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 05-24 13:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.047 | $2.35 |
| 05-24 13:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.44 |
| 05-20 16:26 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 05-20 14:18 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.03 |
| 05-19 19:08 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |