LordMartyn22
0x33ac63be3a6d316e83f4b182b89c0eb7b4ce3682
- Realised P&L
- $40.51
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 296
- Open portfolio
- $6.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded296
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.135 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Broncos vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.570 | 0.575 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Jets vs. Bears · Bears | 0.630 | 0.635 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders · Chiefs | 0.660 | 0.665 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.255 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.019 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.051 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Steelers vs. Browns · Steelers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.55at 0.572Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- +$7.67at 0.402US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
- +$6.82at 0.427Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$6.82at 0.234US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$6.60at 0.590Will CA River Plate win on 2026-09-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:18 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:18 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:17 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:17 | China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:19 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:19 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:19 | Jets vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:20 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:32 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.535 | $1.46 |
| 09-30 18:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.604 | $1.18 |
| 09-30 18:30 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 12:26 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.649999805 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 14:24 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:24 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |