hellosssssssss
0x33a7ff506a32139722527f72ff85efbaf77fe607
- Realised P&L
- $16.4k
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Markets traded
- 1,474
- Open portfolio
- $871.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,474
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hornets (-4.5) · Hornets | 0.480 | 0.470 | $296.10 | −$6.30 |
| Nets vs. Hornets: O/U 211.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.435 | $269.70 | −$34.10 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) · Thunder | 0.450 | 0.355 | $237.84 | −$63.65 |
| Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.505 | $67.67 | +$0.67 |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5) · Minnesota Lynx | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.95 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) · Cavaliers | 0.452 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$750.79 |
| Spread: Thailand (-1.5) · Singapore | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.10 |
| Spread: France (-3.5) · France | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$470.00 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5 · Under | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.60 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) · SK Brann | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$359.49 |
| Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.376Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.9kat 0.350Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
- +$1.7kat 0.401Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
- +$1.4kat 0.364Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$1.4kat 0.200Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 15:50 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $300.00 |
| 08-29 17:44 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.2399999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-29 17:43 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.3799054032 | $500.00 |
| 08-29 14:46 | Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4 | $250.00 |
| 08-29 14:06 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-29 14:05 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4461058524 | $500.00 |
| 08-29 13:46 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-27 19:06 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $201.60 |
| 08-27 19:05 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.2799999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-12 02:00 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.385 | $385.00 |
| 07-01 02:31 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.1120801 | $112.08 |
| 07-01 01:04 | Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.32093746 | $1.6k |
| 07-01 00:11 | Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $694.48 |
| 06-30 00:54 | Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3954959786 | $830.54 |
| 06-27 04:42 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | SELL | 0.69 | $172.51 |