sellitalltoday
0x337c1cedb430967ad45380ef4fec1447c18280ff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $38.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $671.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.875 | $518.16 | +$227.99 |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.140 | $140.68 | −$259.31 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.005 | $12.93 | −$387.07 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$652.17at 0.230Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$388.24at 0.340Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$283.23at 0.414US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$159.84at 0.250US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$71.68at 0.420Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 08:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $290.17 |
| 09-07 08:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $300.00 |
| 09-06 18:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999993 | $300.00 |
| 09-06 18:51 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.3978464029 | $200.00 |
| 08-27 07:17 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.3982587712 | $200.00 |
| 07-04 15:55 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1701477513 | $400.00 |
| 07-04 15:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-04 15:51 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3519999995 | $400.00 |
| 03-25 07:20 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.11 | $88.00 |
| 03-25 07:20 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.11 | $122.22 |
| 02-28 20:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.411990787 | $500.00 |
| 02-28 20:23 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0357561369 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 18:45 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0794091325 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 12:35 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 12:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.265040196 | $200.00 |