shuimu6688
0x3374ae3c0d02572a777ba8a3141f580fee22567d
- Realised P&L
- $-15.14
- Volume
- $814.65
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $27.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.180 | $10.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.092 | $9.20 | +$2.70 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $3.69 | −$1.31 |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.080 | $3.56 | −$6.44 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.38at 0.470Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
- +$1.85at 0.270Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.540Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.972Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
- +$-0.02at 0.964Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 12:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 12:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 11:39 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $11.11 |
| 05-05 08:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $11.85 |
| 04-29 15:42 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $9.99 |
| 04-27 13:04 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.0196364122 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 12:34 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.962 | $9.98 |
| 04-27 12:30 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9639999977 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 15:14 | Kurds declare independence from Iran? | BUY | 0.0570270547 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 03:32 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9719999798 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 03:26 | Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 03:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 02:57 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 02:55 | Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $0.92 |
| 04-26 02:44 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | BUY | 0.2249608636 | $10.00 |