0x3366C36204dD4D902cb09c342080273993DCb03c-1771891910049
0x3366c36204dd4d902cb09c342080273993dcb03c
- Realised P&L
- $-166.05
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $410.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.161 | $317.98 | +$223.33 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.760 | $92.23 | +$32.23 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.77at 0.920Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
- +$-0.00at 0.360Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$-3.26at 0.062Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-5.74at 0.530US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$-147.44at 0.779Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 17:02 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0392875572 | $5.24 |
| 09-09 16:58 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0477742985 | $94.65 |
| 07-09 08:45 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 08:45 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 08:45 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 08:06 | Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | SELL | 0.0702411265 | $14.57 |
| 07-07 12:04 | Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $60.00 |
| 07-07 12:02 | Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | BUY | 0.7666073686 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 11:48 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0599999931 | $8.00 |
| 06-22 11:46 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4944309073 | $60.00 |
| 03-19 16:33 | Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election? | SELL | 0.97 | $111.96 |
| 03-07 21:50 | Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $106.19 |
| 03-07 21:49 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.36 | $10.00 |
| 02-27 20:15 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 02-27 20:14 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $32.26 |