sherlock222
0x33531671182866d943bf91ec4e8237411341e5a3
- Realised P&L
- $-129.71
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $152.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.26at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?
- +$16.70at 0.722Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 29?
- +$16.15at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?
- +$15.29at 0.388Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 29?
- +$14.80at 0.451Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.29 | $21.69 |
| 10-14 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.196 | $1.96 |
| 10-14 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.208 | $5.20 |
| 10-14 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.3899999826 | $5.60 |
| 10-14 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 10-14 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.3804877872 | $4.00 |
| 10-13 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.3766666667 | $5.65 |
| 10-13 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.58 | $9.86 |
| 10-13 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.178 | $5.34 |
| 10-12 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.2999999914 | $3.50 |
| 10-12 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.60 |
| 10-12 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.06 |
| 10-11 22:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.88 |
| 10-11 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.46 |
| 10-11 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.6301538462 | $3.20 |