SARIK64
0x33439a748fe1d5882157ca622cedc93a807ac7bd
- Realised P&L
- $-326.27
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $16.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? · No | 0.070 | 0.175 | $12.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.222 | $3.29 | −$0.70 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.68 | −$9.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-10.79at 0.180Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?
- +$-49.00at 0.004Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-81.17at 0.162Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?
- +$-185.31at 0.068Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.2689999956 | $3.99 |
| 10-18 16:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 16:57 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.0828800288 | $9.21 |
| 10-18 16:06 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 16:04 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.0304635669 | $18.83 |
| 10-18 04:23 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0074033424 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 04:21 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1617793529 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 23:11 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.0051590418 | $15.24 |
| 09-21 01:21 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.0652345057 | $192.74 |
| 09-20 02:10 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0040421386 | $49.00 |