v0r
0x333cda343a1b2dfca887f2ae7eef2851f61b729e
- Realised P&L
- $8.29
- Volume
- $60.50
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $10.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.185 | $3.08 | +$0.08 |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.495 | $2.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.195 | $2.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.315 | $1.85 | −$0.15 |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.505 | $1.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.29at 0.350US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 20:54 | Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 20:49 | Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 20:45 | Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 07:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 06:56 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999964 | $3.00 |
| 04-17 18:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2369668246 | $0.94 |
| 04-17 18:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |