Dube1
0x3338afc1dcae7c899e10d3f687bdd85f77811f1d
- Realised P&L
- $-269.83
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zimbabwe vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$35.34 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.35 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Down | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Down | 0.697 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| France vs. England: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.365 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up | 0.836 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.27at 0.440Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$54.92at 0.219France vs. England: O/U 7.5
- +$52.49at 0.099Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$44.23at 0.636Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?
- +$10.59at 0.707Solana Up or Down - July 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:19 | Will Zimbabwe vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0355169421 | $35.85 |
| 08-24 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7787021578 | $30.00 |
| 08-24 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7227722601 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 08-24 08:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $2.99 |
| 08-24 08:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 08-24 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999731 | $2.50 |
| 08-24 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $2.50 |
| 08-22 08:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $45.00 |
| 08-16 15:18 | Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | SELL | 0.0106339775 | $11.17 |
| 08-14 10:13 | Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.2033199932 | $20.93 |
| 08-13 10:27 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | SELL | 0.0692943736 | $22.29 |
| 08-12 11:31 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $32.17 |