SEEEEEA
0x3325e8464e63f7c6fcc036d9d117d3072bc70e60
- Realised P&L
- $0.93
- Volume
- $116.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $229.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.963 | $96.25 | +$4.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.480 | 0.405 | $40.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.595 | $29.75 | +$3.75 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.728 | 0.775 | $23.27 | +$1.43 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.405 | $20.25 | −$4.25 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · No | 0.929 | 0.963 | $19.73 | +$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.13at 0.920Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$8.30at 0.008Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$7.80at 0.870Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$7.48at 0.979Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$6.38at 0.890Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 12:58 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-12 12:57 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.728 | $21.84 |
| 09-12 12:57 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 09-12 12:57 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 09-12 12:56 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $37.17 |
| 06-10 10:07 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $16.42 |
| 06-10 10:07 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $36.87 |
| 06-10 10:06 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.929 | $19.04 |
| 04-02 07:40 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $39.06 |
| 03-26 14:48 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $41.05 |
| 03-26 14:46 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $48.83 |
| 03-26 14:46 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $126.62 |
| 02-28 17:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.039 | $129.95 |
| 01-27 11:06 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $31.90 |
| 01-27 11:05 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9775054 | $48.88 |