Amirmfj
0x33250e2623ad23ccca7de0c5435e0a2b6fa09874
- Realised P&L
- $-166.37
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $4.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.052 | $4.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.005 | $0.38 | −$6.62 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.004 | $0.11 | −$6.89 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.76 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.11 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.21at 0.621Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.85at 0.230US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$0.84at 0.120Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$-0.32at 0.220Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.007Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 02:22 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3399999938 | $22.11 |
| 03-22 11:49 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |
| 03-12 06:55 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.68 |
| 03-11 05:50 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.3009976919 | $7.85 |
| 03-10 21:50 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.3706996223 | $22.57 |
| 03-10 21:48 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.059999992 | $6.76 |
| 03-10 21:43 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.18 |
| 03-10 21:34 | Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $6.00 |
| 03-10 21:31 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 03-10 21:27 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.83 |
| 03-09 07:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7389999981 | $40.00 |
| 03-09 07:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7389999932 | $20.00 |
| 03-08 22:52 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 22:49 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999751 | $6.00 |
| 03-08 00:55 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.6209999914 | $20.00 |