PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OddsSensei

0x330f19a76ec7f2aacee7a3edd0841a13caf834f4

Realised P&L
$6.0k
Volume
$74.8k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$24.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8570.985$22.1k+$2.9k
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? · No0.8400.925$1.5k+$136.26
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.8190.620$1.4k$437.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 14:55Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?BUY0.8340573$834.06
08-31 18:02Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?BUY0.8051578403$949.31
08-31 17:55Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?BUY0.839836$1.3k
07-27 16:39Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8551357464$1.9k
07-24 18:21Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8809999995$140.00
07-24 18:16Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.854588029$5.6k
06-23 19:02Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8478431108$1.9k
06-22 16:43Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8638376225$1.9k
06-22 14:56Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.864795628$2.2k
06-22 14:36Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.85893946$1.6k
06-19 16:10Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8580719197$1.9k
06-19 13:15Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8589603767$1.9k
06-19 12:52Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8585549378$1.9k
06-18 19:54Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8543718273$1.9k
06-18 13:50Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8559265815$1.9k