OddsSensei
0x330f19a76ec7f2aacee7a3edd0841a13caf834f4
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $74.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $24.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.857 | 0.985 | $22.1k | +$2.9k |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? · No | 0.840 | 0.925 | $1.5k | +$136.26 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes | 0.819 | 0.620 | $1.4k | −$437.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.858Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:55 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.8340573 | $834.06 |
| 08-31 18:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.8051578403 | $949.31 |
| 08-31 17:55 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? | BUY | 0.839836 | $1.3k |
| 07-27 16:39 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8551357464 | $1.9k |
| 07-24 18:21 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8809999995 | $140.00 |
| 07-24 18:16 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.854588029 | $5.6k |
| 06-23 19:02 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8478431108 | $1.9k |
| 06-22 16:43 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8638376225 | $1.9k |
| 06-22 14:56 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.864795628 | $2.2k |
| 06-22 14:36 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85893946 | $1.6k |
| 06-19 16:10 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8580719197 | $1.9k |
| 06-19 13:15 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8589603767 | $1.9k |
| 06-19 12:52 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8585549378 | $1.9k |
| 06-18 19:54 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8543718273 | $1.9k |
| 06-18 13:50 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8559265815 | $1.9k |