hallrebekah
0x33078af8e6d4e425662742fb74f19d9d3d7b7cf4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.77
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $6.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on September 28? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.92 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.79 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.42 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.950Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23?
- +$0.03at 0.983Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 20?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.92 |
| 07-02 13:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9969999994 | $1.78 |
| 06-26 17:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.9929996944 | $1.41 |
| 05-16 20:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 04-23 19:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.92 |
| 03-02 08:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.9909999966 | $2.30 |
| 02-23 07:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.83 |
| 02-20 05:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20? | BUY | 0.982999997 | $1.96 |
| 02-12 10:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.94 |
| 02-10 09:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.51 |
| 01-29 16:56 | Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.9983998256 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 16:33 | Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 16:32 | Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 15:54 | Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 15:52 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.0k |