KingKaito
0x32e81f51d2d98297edf9ab7c92e030f222f81f67
- Realised P&L
- $16.43
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $51.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.257 | $22.70 | +$3.94 |
| Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.085 | $16.36 | +$9.42 |
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No | 0.510 | 0.495 | $6.47 | −$0.20 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.140 | $5.85 | −$0.42 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.39 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.88 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.77 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.46at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.02at 0.024Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.41at 0.078Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.42at 0.600Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:25 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.272 | $1.63 |
| 09-30 13:02 | Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.18 |
| 09-30 12:57 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.48 | $6.02 |
| 09-30 00:21 | Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction? | BUY | 0.0719999995 | $2.18 |
| 09-30 00:14 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.266 | $5.32 |
| 09-29 16:38 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.2009999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 16:38 | Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-29 16:37 | Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-29 16:21 | Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction? | BUY | 0.0234149852 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:11 | Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction? | BUY | 0.015835777 | $1.50 |
| 09-25 17:44 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $13.07 |
| 09-25 17:43 | Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.27 |
| 07-12 15:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.188 | $2.40 |
| 07-12 15:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.50 |
| 07-12 15:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.388 | $5.25 |