0x32E2d855D80624AD710d1Dc13ac796E45B3a3699-1770689551247
0x32e2d855d80624ad710d1dc13ac796e45b3a3699
- Realised P&L
- $-60.79
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $50.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.435 | $47.00 | −$13.51 |
| Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $3.56 | −$5.94 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.36 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.07 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.74at 0.417Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?
- +$15.29at 0.352Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?
- +$11.42at 0.640Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
- +$6.04at 0.628Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?
- +$3.92at 0.310Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 02:40 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%? | BUY | 0.6159999852 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 19:14 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%? | SELL | 0.5 | $11.08 |
| 08-12 20:23 | Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0066791612 | $9.50 |
| 08-12 20:23 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.10 |
| 08-11 23:12 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%? | BUY | 0.300072753 | $6.65 |
| 08-11 23:11 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.54 | $6.79 |
| 08-09 08:37 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5599999986 | $78.22 |
| 07-16 17:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999638 | $4.36 |
| 07-15 01:15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4649999047 | $2.00 |
| 06-19 00:43 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.4050690894 | $33.18 |
| 06-11 21:00 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? | SELL | 0.8792491468 | $25.76 |
| 06-10 00:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 00:46 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.082 | $1.81 |
| 06-10 00:45 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0829999613 | $1.83 |
| 06-09 14:07 | Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |