fas19
0x32e2cf0ca0d278252a6ca4534eb4c8759741a1d7
- Realised P&L
- $-991.77
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $16.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.003 | $16.42 | −$476.17 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.14 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$148.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.095Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.87at 0.160Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-3.75at 0.080Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
- +$-7.26at 0.380Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$-7.69at 0.130Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 02:06 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.089999999 | $78.00 |
| 02-26 02:06 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.181435814 | $78.02 |
| 02-26 02:05 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2 | $86.00 |
| 02-26 02:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $84.73 |
| 02-26 02:03 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0899999989 | $70.00 |
| 01-18 15:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999977 | $92.00 |
| 01-17 19:48 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $92.31 |
| 01-15 01:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2099999961 | $32.32 |
| 01-15 01:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2099999985 | $100.87 |
| 01-15 01:35 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1021413043 | $32.33 |
| 01-15 01:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.161394848 | $100.87 |
| 01-15 01:31 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2099999974 | $49.95 |
| 01-14 18:15 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0945714719 | $29.93 |
| 01-14 01:38 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $266.35 |
| 01-14 01:36 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | SELL | 0.2888988557 | $266.35 |