PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fas19

0x32e2cf0ca0d278252a6ca4534eb4c8759741a1d7

Realised P&L
$-991.77
Volume
$16.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$16.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.003$16.42$476.17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$183.14
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$100.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$50.00
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$148.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-26 02:06Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.089999999$78.00
02-26 02:06Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.181435814$78.02
02-26 02:05Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2$86.00
02-26 02:05Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.35$84.73
02-26 02:03Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0899999989$70.00
01-18 15:44Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3799999977$92.00
01-17 19:48Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.12$92.31
01-15 01:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2099999961$32.32
01-15 01:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2099999985$100.87
01-15 01:35Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1021413043$32.33
01-15 01:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.161394848$100.87
01-15 01:31Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2099999974$49.95
01-14 18:15Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0945714719$29.93
01-14 01:38Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0899999997$266.35
01-14 01:36Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?SELL0.2888988557$266.35