oddsbtw
0x32da8c454bbae8e08999046e4bc0bdd0c209b112
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $215.21
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.530 | 0.525 | $74.29 | −$0.71 |
| Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.510 | $72.17 | −$2.83 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 · Under | 0.516 | 0.505 | $68.75 | −$1.48 |
| Will two people dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes | 0.401 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.290Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$398.57at 0.510Eagles vs. Packers
- +$382.92at 0.484Spread: Lions (-3.5)
- +$263.61at 0.568Patriots vs. Bengals
- +$212.50at 0.540Spread: Patriots (-13.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:14 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $75.00 |
| 09-23 03:13 | Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $75.00 |
| 09-21 15:57 | Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.5158864223 | $70.23 |
| 09-21 15:56 | Isaiah Likely: Receptions O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.479999999 | $74.00 |
| 09-21 15:55 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $75.00 |
| 01-01 07:19 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.31 | $281.55 |
| 12-26 06:06 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.04 |
| 12-26 06:05 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | SELL | 0.2034479071 | $11.03 |
| 12-26 05:40 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.2299999992 | $197.85 |
| 12-22 03:43 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | SELL | 0.3407142857 | $23.85 |
| 12-22 02:08 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5599999964 | $150.00 |
| 12-07 03:32 | Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) | SELL | 0.5 | $121.08 |
| 12-07 03:32 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.2 | $162.88 |
| 12-07 03:32 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | SELL | 0.3710918499 | $129.08 |
| 12-07 03:32 | Ohio State vs. Indiana | SELL | 0.62 | $204.48 |