PolyBot

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Traders

oddsbtw

0x32da8c454bbae8e08999046e4bc0bdd0c209b112

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$37.7k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$215.21

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans0.5300.525$74.29$0.71
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5 · Over0.5300.510$72.17$2.83
Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 · Under0.5160.505$68.75$1.48
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes0.4010.000$0.00$41.00
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$20.00
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 03:14Spread: Texans (-2.5)BUY0.5299999999$75.00
09-23 03:13Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5BUY0.5299999999$75.00
09-21 15:57Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5BUY0.5158864223$70.23
09-21 15:56Isaiah Likely: Receptions O/U 4.5BUY0.479999999$74.00
09-21 15:55Spread: Rams (-6.5)BUY0.5199999972$75.00
01-01 07:19Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL0.31$281.55
12-26 06:06Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.23$11.04
12-26 06:05Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?SELL0.2034479071$11.03
12-26 05:40Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.2299999992$197.85
12-22 03:43Spread: Ravens (-3.5)SELL0.3407142857$23.85
12-22 02:08Spread: Ravens (-3.5)BUY0.5599999964$150.00
12-07 03:32Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)SELL0.5$121.08
12-07 03:32Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.2$162.88
12-07 03:32Spread: Eagles (-3.5)SELL0.3710918499$129.08
12-07 03:32Ohio State vs. IndianaSELL0.62$204.48