PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rickyvaughn

0x32d1623dddbd4841a98da71e47f0436d2ef2b949

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$2.14M
Markets traded
396
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded396
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6270.625$555.13$2.28
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4410.475$334.87+$23.72
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · Yes0.2090.340$210.39+$80.72
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.140$129.18+$0.37
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? · Yes0.2070.215$97.82+$3.52
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0390.029$72.56$25.84
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.003$65.17$28.57
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0340.025$52.85$20.49
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0160.013$33.80$7.80
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0800.065$32.50$7.50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1010.105$24.59+$0.84
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0250.017$19.40$9.77
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.021$10.25$0.75
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? · Yes0.0240.038$6.20+$2.29
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1160.092$3.82$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0996032258$15.44
08-02 07:21Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.66$205.92
08-02 06:14Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.08$8.00
08-02 06:13Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.0258031775$7.86
08-02 06:13Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.001$1.00
08-02 06:11Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.2$40.00
08-02 02:43IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.22$42.90
08-02 01:09Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.23$46.00
08-02 00:59IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.2$20.00
08-02 00:57Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?SELL0.0245172504$3.75
08-02 00:57Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.08$8.89
08-01 22:41IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.2$20.00
08-01 22:38IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.19$6.44
08-01 22:37IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?BUY0.0242919255$3.91
08-01 22:04Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00