PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

rickyvaughn

0x32d1623dddbd4841a98da71e47f0436d2ef2b949

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$2.20M
Markets traded
418
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded418
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0540.082$373.82+$125.84
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.3900.255$368.47$195.07
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.5000.160$337.64$718.68
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0030.004$120.83+$6.96
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.3150.125$81.87$124.27
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0360.018$64.94$61.68
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0290.019$33.61$17.38
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2? · Yes0.0300.011$25.39$40.46
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · Yes0.1060.070$22.97$11.88
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No0.0750.053$9.65$4.10
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1160.087$3.62$1.16
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by September 25? · Yes0.0110.013$1.52+$0.30
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$17.49
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$56.87
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:22Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?BUY0.0108581665$5.06
09-17 02:36Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?BUY0.034$45.83
09-17 02:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$46.67
09-17 02:32Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?BUY0.0283715183$1.35
09-17 02:30Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.014$7.00
09-17 00:20Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.078$10.30
09-17 00:19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.069$3.45
09-16 03:39Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?SELL0.0924839465$24.48
09-16 03:37Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0459255825$98.12
09-16 00:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.049$34.30
09-15 23:53Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?BUY0.033$5.77
09-15 21:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.047$35.26
09-15 21:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.046$2.76
09-15 21:10Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.049$14.70
09-15 21:06Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.049$9.80