rickyvaughn
0x32d1623dddbd4841a98da71e47f0436d2ef2b949
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $2.20M
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.5kat 0.152Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$8.6kat 0.316Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$6.2kat 0.147Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
- +$2.5kat 0.260Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.025US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:22 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2? | BUY | 0.0108581665 | $5.06 |
| 09-17 02:36 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2? | BUY | 0.034 | $45.83 |
| 09-17 02:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $46.67 |
| 09-17 02:32 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2? | BUY | 0.0283715183 | $1.35 |
| 09-17 02:30 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.014 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 00:20 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.078 | $10.30 |
| 09-17 00:19 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.069 | $3.45 |
| 09-16 03:39 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.0924839465 | $24.48 |
| 09-16 03:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0459255825 | $98.12 |
| 09-16 00:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $34.30 |
| 09-15 23:53 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2? | BUY | 0.033 | $5.77 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $35.26 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $2.76 |
| 09-15 21:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $14.70 |
| 09-15 21:06 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $9.80 |