0x32CAe1Ef880b9Aa302fb413332d6563a62B57766-1721601830032
0x32cae1ef880b9aa302fb413332d6563a62b57766
- Realised P&L
- $240.63
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $23.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.31at 0.260Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$76.03at 0.567Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$55.17at 0.647Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$52.89at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.26at 0.115Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 13:57 | Will Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 19:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $30.00 |
| 08-17 12:11 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0419999958 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 21:35 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 21:35 | Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 09:08 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 06-18 09:07 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-18 09:07 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $50.00 |
| 06-18 09:07 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 21:02 | Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.40 |
| 05-16 23:10 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $57.92 |
| 05-16 21:45 | Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 21:39 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.38 |
| 05-16 21:37 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2169999845 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 21:37 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4979999821 | $10.00 |