joint293
0x32bc254440121a3385d702fcd9a5d2d784e80280
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.255 | $1.3k | −$529.00 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.684 | 0.245 | $907.31 | −$1.6k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.160 | $319.61 | −$199.39 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.092 | $119.63 | −$48.17 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$312.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.394Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$241.41at 0.557Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$208.60at 0.477Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$0.22at 0.820US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$-172.75at 0.467Spurs vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 22:41 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.459999999 | $170.00 |
| 06-10 22:40 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $300.00 |
| 06-09 03:35 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.999 | $399.60 |
| 06-08 18:00 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.47 | $188.00 |
| 06-08 17:59 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $312.00 |
| 06-04 00:51 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4299999996 | $300.00 |
| 06-03 22:39 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3699999975 | $80.00 |
| 06-03 22:38 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.64 | $300.00 |
| 06-03 22:38 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3699999998 | $600.00 |
| 02-09 04:48 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3430720923 | $18.24 |
| 02-09 04:47 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3603884385 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 04:47 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7293845363 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 04:46 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3529041545 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 04:45 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7093735818 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 04:45 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |