AA12309
0x32b9f8de87601034254a862134307a7b98e335f9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.87
- Volume
- $112.79
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $3.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.410 | 1.000 | $2.44 | +$1.44 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 22? · Up | 0.580 | 0.888 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury · Dallas Wings | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.671Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulas
- +$0.30at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$0.25at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$0.19at 0.840Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$-1.07at 0.011Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:39 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:33 | Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulas | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:41 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |