alvarito940
0x32acf5d53b9544f7119233da11f17522f141fb03
- Realised P&L
- $-357.24
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $0.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.008 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down | 0.768 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.35at 0.815Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$18.00at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$16.59at 0.850Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$15.11at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$12.08at 0.827Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $72.44 |
| 09-17 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999981 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $73.61 |
| 09-17 21:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $63.86 |
| 09-17 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $61.24 |
| 09-17 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.033935244 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $5.66 |
| 09-17 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $60.00 |