0x32A832894e3fDbd15bf1560098D0804FA1A1be9b-1773078294761
0x32a832894e3fdbd15bf1560098d0804fa1a1be9b
- Realised P&L
- $795.58
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,425
- Open portfolio
- $204.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,425
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.73at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3?
- +$83.65at 0.329Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?
- +$69.77at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 17?
- +$69.69at 0.124Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?
- +$57.00at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989998014 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989998014 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9979999043 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9969998281 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9969999185 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9989998014 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9969999185 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9979998088 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9979998088 | $5.00 |