PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Arpadex

0x329da08a8e3d157393cf1c423716fa413e075a92

Realised P&L
$11.8k
Volume
$1.47M
Markets traded
17,494
Open portfolio
$544.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17,494
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
América de Cali leading at halftime? · No0.7050.605$47.82$7.90
SC Freiburg vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to Score in First Half · No0.7100.500$27.93$11.73
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles · Hanwha Eagles0.4000.655$27.23+$10.60
Orebro SK vs. Varbergs BoIS: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners · Under0.4900.500$25.39+$0.51
Aguada Santeros vs. Vaqueros de Bayamon: O/U 170.5 · Over0.4700.500$22.31+$1.34
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · GoldRashers0.4200.480$22.22+$2.78
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions0.5700.395$21.47$9.51
SC Freiburg vs. Crystal Palace: SC Freiburg 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.4600.500$20.00+$1.60
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners · Under0.2700.500$20.00+$9.20
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Under0.5900.500$20.00$3.60
CDPJuniorFC leading at halftime? · Yes0.5300.495$19.80$1.40
FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs. FK Livyi Bereh: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Under0.4800.500$19.64+$0.79
New York Cosmos leading at halftime? · No0.7900.500$18.98$11.01
Los Angeles FC vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 4.5 Corners · Under0.5000.500$16.18+$0.00
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-05? · Yes0.2100.355$14.20+$5.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 16:53World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?SELL0.0793957143$1.67
07-05 16:52World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?SELL0.083324$1.25
07-05 16:52World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?SELL0.0884530435$2.03
07-05 16:52World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?SELL0.09552$2.01
07-05 16:51World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?SELL0.1$1.22
07-03 21:25Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsSELL0.6$81.49
06-27 20:09Harry Kane: 1+ assistsBUY0.23$6.90
06-27 19:54Declan Rice: 2+ shotsBUY0.6$120.00
06-23 21:04Marco Pašalić: 1+ assistsBUY0.14$2.80
06-23 21:04Mario Pašalić: 1+ goalsBUY0.08$1.52
06-09 08:43World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?BUY0.76$18.00
06-09 08:37Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?BUY0.8634447722$52.69
06-08 06:56Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1566666667$7.05
06-07 16:31Will Senegal finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?SELL0.84$5.25
06-07 12:41Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.41$2.05