0x328c0cd5f9bf54d653e30ae2cb7482b45bba5fcd
0x328c0cd5f9bf54d653e30ae2cb7482b45bba5fcd
- Realised P&L
- $6.21
- Volume
- $192.23
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $7.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.963 | $1.60 | +$0.60 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.680 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.650 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.420 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.360 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.32at 0.307Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:25 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:20 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:49 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:29 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:24 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:15 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:18 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 01:04 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:16 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:34 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:24 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |