MagnumMxakep
0x328acbd262b95734cd8383ebc0e8b92dc6df7b70
- Realised P&L
- $-256.46
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,439
- Open portfolio
- $14.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,439
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.515 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on November 3? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.420 | $4.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.485 | $4.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.16at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?
- +$7.97at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$6.09at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$6.03at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$5.89at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.619999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.81 |
| 10-29 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 04:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.29 |
| 10-29 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $4.00 |
| 10-29 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.79 |
| 10-28 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $4.00 |
| 10-28 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.87 |