0x328A22DAc170D88C9a1800AA823Ca3c7846E990d-1770553508069
0x328a22dac170d88c9a1800aa823ca3c7846e990d
- Realised P&L
- $369.08
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $76.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 1.000 | $45.45 | +$35.45 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 1.000 | $28.37 | +$18.44 |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.073 | $2.19 | −$3.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Up | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) · Timberwolves | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down | 0.333 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.59 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Up | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.18at 0.252Grizzlies vs. Warriors
- +$132.69at 0.199Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$76.04at 0.309Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$31.62at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$29.53at 0.629Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 05:20 | Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.2899999965 | $55.01 |
| 02-10 05:08 | Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 02-10 05:04 | Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1883333333 | $5.65 |
| 02-10 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $4.92 |
| 02-10 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $5.30 |
| 02-10 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 11:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2388280251 | $13.77 |
| 02-09 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $19.44 |
| 02-09 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999839 | $3.99 |
| 02-09 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $19.42 |
| 02-09 10:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $4.47 |
| 02-09 10:41 | XRP Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 02-09 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $61.64 |
| 02-09 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $19.38 |
| 02-09 10:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $29.07 |