Fs706
0x3282246e19626bf29b11613e4bed903f29295228
- Realised P&L
- $-21.68
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Madura United win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.280 | $1.01 | −$0.07 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season · EVOS | 0.430 | 0.415 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.30at 0.308Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$2.49at 0.270Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.67at 0.397Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$1.55at 0.422Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$1.53at 0.407Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:27 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:57 | Will Madura United win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.08 |
| 10-07 04:34 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.02 |
| 07-19 09:46 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4249997875 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 22:24 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2649998688 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 22:13 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.89 | $3.59 |
| 07-18 22:12 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.14 | $0.38 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.44 | $0.83 |
| 07-18 05:16 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 05:16 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.24 | $0.88 |
| 07-18 05:11 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 05:10 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.33 | $1.08 |
| 07-17 08:34 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:34 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3099998373 | $1.01 |
| 07-16 09:34 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2899998386 | $1.06 |