5826frff
0x327c49d9b556551ea8b87c6042a74f2591be7ce7
- Realised P&L
- $-224.91
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $24.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.795 | 0.765 | $11.48 | −$0.44 |
| Texans vs. Jaguars · Texans | 0.440 | 0.435 | $6.96 | −$0.08 |
| Canucks vs. Lightning · Lightning | 0.770 | 0.765 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.838 | 0.868 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.24 |
| Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller · Nerman Fatic | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.61 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.72 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.80 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.63 |
| Wild vs. Kings · Wild | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.70 |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.24 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.92 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox · Kansas City Royals | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.48 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.35at 0.622Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$38.18at 0.440Knicks vs. Pistons
- +$35.15at 0.460Blue Jackets vs. Sharks
- +$34.15at 0.600Hawks vs. Raptors
- +$33.83at 0.470Avalanche vs. Lightning
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 07:09 | Canucks vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 08:37 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 10-15 08:19 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-14 07:20 | Texans vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.44 | $7.04 |
| 10-13 10:46 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.39 | $8.97 |
| 10-12 07:13 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.515 | $16.55 |
| 10-12 07:12 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-11 06:31 | Browns vs. Jets | BUY | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 10-09 10:53 | Bears vs. Packers | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-08 08:47 | Broncos vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.63 | $14.49 |
| 10-07 07:01 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.38 | $6.08 |
| 10-06 09:29 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.41 | $7.79 |
| 10-06 09:28 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.46 | $6.90 |
| 10-05 06:41 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-05 06:33 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |