0x3270f49bbe8f6410eb14d7cad2d3ae827520e8b9
0x3270f49bbe8f6410eb14d7cad2d3ae827520e8b9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.81
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $20.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.238 | $15.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $4.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.38at 0.434Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$74.50at 0.475Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?
- +$40.84at 0.322Will Belarus win on 2026-10-06?
- +$38.77at 0.571Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?
- +$29.60at 0.343Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 17:03 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2345454486 | $15.00 |
| 10-18 21:25 | 1H Spread: Bills (-10.5) | SELL | 0.03 | $4.37 |
| 10-18 18:56 | 1H Spread: Bills (-10.5) | BUY | 0.2399999989 | $35.00 |
| 10-18 14:58 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 18:29 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.40 |
| 10-17 16:43 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-17 16:03 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.73 |
| 10-16 19:30 | Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.296389666 | $6.74 |
| 10-16 19:29 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.11 |
| 10-16 19:19 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.8 | $39.02 |
| 10-15 20:46 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6099999846 | $15.01 |
| 10-15 20:06 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.329999996 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 19:22 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.13 | $7.22 |
| 10-14 19:02 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 10-14 17:59 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo | BUY | 0.1 | $7.00 |