leahharris
0x326616562cc90d687f9fb6dbc93b81833def22f4
- Realised P&L
- $4.65
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $41.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.715 | $30.34 | −$3.61 |
| Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.740 | $11.34 | −$0.46 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.675 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.12at 0.630Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?
- +$22.96at 0.580Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$22.37at 0.600Ole Miss vs. Florida
- +$4.11at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20?
- +$4.10at 0.517Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:39 | Asian Games Men: India vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.8699999941 | $8.80 |
| 09-24 14:12 | Ole Miss vs. Florida | BUY | 0.5999999964 | $33.55 |
| 01-31 13:44 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.75 |
| 01-30 12:35 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.39 |
| 01-30 12:12 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $27.98 |
| 01-30 12:06 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.27 |
| 12-30 08:43 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999868 | $12.82 |
| 12-29 21:17 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.96 |
| 12-29 20:22 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.68 |
| 12-29 20:15 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.15 |
| 12-29 18:45 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999965 | $75.66 |
| 10-30 19:56 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.77 |
| 10-30 17:59 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.00 |
| 09-29 12:34 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.9949999753 | $18.33 |
| 09-29 12:13 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $15.74 |