0x32640063f692f49b660b11c5f73e6ca0c6d2f0bd
- Realised P&L
- $-20.60
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,482
- Open portfolio
- $142.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,482
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.00at 0.050US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$39.86at 0.070Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-05-16?
- +$20.89at 0.297Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?
- +$18.46at 0.520San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5
- +$15.60at 0.220Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.04 |
| 08-03 17:17 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 16:53 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.992 | $11.27 |
| 08-02 09:12 | Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 09:02 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:22 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.81 | $8.25 |
| 08-02 08:16 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 07:49 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 07:46 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 18:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7869999854 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.14 |
| 08-01 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8399999395 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |