PolyBot

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Traders

Kaos44

0x325f41d2b0b22d6b18ed8225945efd2023ed2c81

Realised P&L
$810.64
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
1,351
Open portfolio
$410.90

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,351
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.3100.960$40.26+$27.26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.4600.890$25.15+$12.15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.2700.375$18.06+$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18? · Yes0.3800.505$17.28+$4.28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.5600.730$16.94+$3.94
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? · Yes0.4000.415$15.56+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19? · Yes0.1810.210$15.11+$2.11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.5700.565$14.87$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20? · Yes0.5000.485$14.55$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.6030.585$14.55$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.5980.660$14.36+$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.4880.525$13.98+$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19? · Yes0.5600.595$13.81+$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18? · Yes0.6500.690$13.80+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.4900.515$13.66+$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:46Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?BUY0.5$15.00
09-18 06:29Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.44$8.80
09-18 06:23Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.44$3.52
09-18 06:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.5699999886$15.00
09-18 06:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.6$14.49
09-18 05:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.5099999949$15.00
09-18 05:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.7$0.50
09-18 03:46Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19?BUY0.4$15.00
09-18 00:12Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.5977011494$13.00
09-17 23:15Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?BUY0.5599999931$13.00
09-17 18:17Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19?BUY0.1799999985$12.05
09-17 18:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.4199999994$13.00
09-17 18:14Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.4899999861$13.00
09-17 18:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19?BUY0.19$0.95
09-17 16:17Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.6138613782$13.00