Kaos44
0x325f41d2b0b22d6b18ed8225945efd2023ed2c81
- Realised P&L
- $810.64
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,351
- Open portfolio
- $410.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,351
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.19at 0.193Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 16?
- +$38.89at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17?
- +$29.49at 0.345Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$27.33at 0.257Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 14?
- +$27.05at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-18 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.52 |
| 09-18 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $14.49 |
| 09-18 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $0.50 |
| 09-18 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5977011494 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5599999931 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.1799999985 | $12.05 |
| 09-17 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4199999994 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4899999861 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 09-17 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6138613782 | $13.00 |