Raline23
0x325b894cd506056067a7b4744244eb1eed42f1ee
- Realised P&L
- $465.17
- Volume
- $94.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,368
- Open portfolio
- $1.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,368
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.71at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?
- +$6.30at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6?
- +$5.82at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 28?
- +$5.45at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 23?
- +$5.42at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.60 |
| 09-18 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.34 |
| 09-18 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.48 |
| 09-18 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.60 |
| 09-18 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.68 |
| 09-16 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 09-16 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-16 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-16 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-15 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 09-15 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 09-14 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-13 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.31 |