nfttax
0x325aa65c5eaa184d91ea620347476711b3efa634
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $104.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.920 | $2.0k | +$436.20 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.804 | 0.588 | $77.62 | −$28.51 |
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan | 0.201 | 0.055 | $18.64 | −$49.49 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.087 | $4.44 | −$31.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$398.20at 0.450Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
- +$383.15at 0.266Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
- +$254.41at 0.692Will RS Berkane win on 2026-02-25?
- +$248.53at 0.570Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$188.33at 0.630Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" or "Golfing" this week? (March 22)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 13:42 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.19 | $153.90 |
| 04-11 09:45 | Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.235 | $166.14 |
| 04-11 08:13 | Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $428.13 |
| 04-10 15:49 | Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $562.32 |
| 04-10 14:03 | Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.429 | $303.30 |
| 04-09 12:46 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 04-09 10:26 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $381.57 |
| 03-31 03:09 | Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.66 | $613.80 |
| 03-30 16:16 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21? | SELL | 0.61 | $622.20 |
| 03-30 16:15 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21? | SELL | 0.61 | $42.09 |
| 03-29 16:04 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21? | BUY | 0.78 | $849.42 |
| 03-29 13:28 | Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.78 | $725.40 |
| 03-26 07:19 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.55 |
| 03-26 07:17 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $33.80 |
| 03-26 03:19 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.06 |