0x3251caca6d715c09537cdc0f8d04c7454c537888
0x3251caca6d715c09537cdc0f8d04c7454c537888
- Realised P&L
- $-7.78
- Volume
- $151.30
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $6.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.675 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.490 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.870 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.835 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.335 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.37at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.88at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.96at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.44at 0.530Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.18at 0.640US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:37 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:01 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:46 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:21 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999232 | $2.09 |
| 09-23 07:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-20 22:05 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998822 | $1.64 |
| 09-19 09:09 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999641 | $1.81 |
| 09-19 01:06 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999932 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 10:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6299999127 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 02:34 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-04 00:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |