0x3250c01064D0137e35C5bfc1cb43c93af90A108d-1765395917581
0x3250c01064d0137e35c5bfc1cb43c93af90a108d
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $67.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.285 | $3.2k | −$722.59 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.438 | 0.101 | $230.67 | −$769.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.626Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$2.7kat 0.656Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
- +$1.5kat 0.667US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.570Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$776.89at 0.557US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.3599999999 | $601.00 |
| 10-08 10:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5370996618 | $1.0k |
| 10-07 15:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-07 13:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 10-07 12:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5799999997 | $1.0k |
| 10-04 13:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.77582104 | $1000.00 |
| 10-04 13:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $1.0k |
| 08-08 15:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $500.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.4225026896 | $1000.00 |
| 07-21 19:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.7379999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-16 06:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.7599050109 | $400.00 |
| 06-15 12:12 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.5k |