gdfdS1
0x324c490a3cfa1853e165cce77e6b469f5db8557a
- Realised P&L
- $-171.56
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $316.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 6°C or below on November 3? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $316.38 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.51at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?
- +$0.80at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?
- +$0.68at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or below on July 31?
- +$0.67at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 26?
- +$0.62at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 6°C or below on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $316.38 |
| 10-30 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $315.98 |
| 10-28 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.55 |
| 10-28 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-27 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.25 |
| 10-26 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.71 |
| 10-26 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.89 |
| 10-26 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $76.02 |
| 10-25 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on October 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $47.11 |
| 10-24 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C or below on October 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $268.37 |
| 10-21 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $314.92 |
| 10-19 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $314.63 |
| 10-17 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $314.33 |
| 10-14 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $314.04 |
| 10-11 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $313.74 |