0x32398f927F3541B5d620D4d73737058F5BE9fa0B-1783087587449
0x32398f927f3541b5d620d4d73737058f5be9fa0b
- Realised P&L
- $627.48
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,535
- Open portfolio
- $20.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,535
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.477 | 0.325 | $20.17 | −$9.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.20at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$63.29at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$61.29at 0.329Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$56.76at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$52.22at 0.302Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999341 | $3.14 |
| 09-28 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4703066126 | $9.66 |
| 09-28 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.469999943 | $2.39 |
| 09-28 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999777 | $6.88 |
| 09-28 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999848 | $4.82 |
| 09-28 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999768 | $2.74 |
| 09-28 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.589999859 | $1.13 |
| 09-28 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $1.17 |
| 09-28 06:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999017 | $2.04 |
| 09-28 06:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $9.31 |
| 09-28 06:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.76 |
| 09-28 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999169 | $1.17 |
| 09-28 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999169 | $1.17 |
| 09-28 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999169 | $1.17 |
| 09-28 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999361 | $2.83 |