0x323239497Bf22069f1ea44008a362A150c7518aE-1783478705189
0x323239497bf22069f1ea44008a362a150c7518ae
- Realised P&L
- $35.8k
- Volume
- $264.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.030 | $2.7k | −$313.71 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.7k |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$676.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.3kat 0.462England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$208.03at 0.541Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$135.00at 0.762Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
- +$16.00at 0.520Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
- +$-1.8kat 0.187Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 03:07 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.0k |
| 07-15 23:02 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.406 | $568.40 |
| 07-15 21:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.406 | $107.92 |
| 07-14 17:34 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.45 | $5.6k |
| 07-14 17:34 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.45 | $16.7k |
| 07-14 16:28 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.8k |