kira9900
0x322ad2c2291ac031d73f0ad686497a2b6522e54e
- Realised P&L
- $-780.49
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $101.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 16? · No | 0.869 | 0.880 | $101.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.49at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13?
- +$14.44at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?
- +$13.61at 0.887Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 23?
- +$11.39at 0.906Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?
- +$10.39at 0.833Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.868617161 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6599999982 | $52.00 |
| 10-13 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.984 | $9.46 |
| 10-13 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.9 | $25.20 |
| 10-13 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 10-12 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.6699999983 | $52.00 |
| 10-06 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.7299999007 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $121.94 |
| 09-24 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.0419501348 | $3.11 |
| 09-23 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.7 | $51.94 |
| 09-23 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9011669252 | $110.00 |