draken06
0x32289956a8c60dabc019f7a94e1ce6ec49b45c2e
- Realised P&L
- $-372.28
- Volume
- $44.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $238.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.600 | 0.790 | $214.83 | +$51.67 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.050 | $22.50 | −$10.35 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.033 | $0.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.004Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$3.81at 0.008Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$-48.92at 0.104Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
- +$-312.88at 0.076Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:20 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.073 | $2.92 |
| 09-24 21:38 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 09-24 10:23 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 09-24 10:22 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-22 19:01 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $77.68 |
| 09-22 18:54 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.5999999995 | $243.52 |
| 09-22 10:55 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 21:37 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1260375 | $100.83 |
| 09-20 12:26 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1240487 | $186.07 |
| 09-17 17:38 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 15:52 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.07 | $34.34 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.0010373461 | $4.13 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.06 | $141.51 |
| 09-14 20:04 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.005 | $48.68 |
| 09-13 19:45 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2297417722 | $54.36 |