White-Sunglasses
0x321fd4891761b20d6c75ae2f44edcffa5f50082b
- Realised P&L
- $196.54
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $757.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.803 | 0.785 | $277.00 | −$6.27 |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.810 | $101.24 | +$0.00 |
| Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.870 | $100.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.880 | $94.62 | −$5.38 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.863 | 0.570 | $78.57 | −$40.43 |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.810 | $56.32 | +$6.95 |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.930 | $50.22 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.60at 0.719Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
- +$25.82at 0.803US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
- +$18.16at 0.816Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
- +$17.24at 0.670Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$16.28at 0.811Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:21 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.94 | $50.76 |
| 10-29 06:20 | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.72 | $50.40 |
| 10-29 06:17 | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.74 | $51.80 |
| 10-29 06:08 | Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.81 | $101.24 |
| 10-29 06:07 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $65.19 |
| 10-29 05:56 | Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.999 | $106.46 |
| 10-28 06:28 | Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 10-28 03:18 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $83.12 |
| 10-27 04:16 | Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 04:16 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $111.98 |
| 10-27 04:14 | Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 04:12 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $106.36 |
| 10-19 18:49 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7099999925 | $49.37 |
| 10-19 18:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $50.11 |
| 10-18 06:39 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999994 | $156.79 |