PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rogervu92

0x321d2446be38432ddec4b79e29230a3bdccced56

Realised P&L
$669.43
Volume
$28.8k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$88.09

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
TownSquare FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4600.355$35.50−$10.50
Will AlloX FDV be above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3780.560$22.96+$7.47
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.185$18.50−$16.50
TownSquare FDV above $175M one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.530$11.13+$0.84
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.2980.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$30.00
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? · No0.3130.000$0.00−$63.01
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00−$38.93
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale? · No0.3790.000$0.00−$101.38
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$9.00
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? · No0.0910.000$0.00−$18.16
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$34.00
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$12.00
Laso Finance FDV above $3M one day after launch · No0.1100.000$0.00−$20.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:111win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.4767580453$4.00
10-31 18:061win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.4799920064$6.00
10-31 18:051win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.47$2.35
10-31 18:051win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.41$4.34
10-30 18:041win FDV above $45M one day after launch?SELL0.3596$17.98
10-30 04:24Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.24$14.40
10-30 04:15Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?BUY0.45$13.50
10-30 04:10Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?BUY0.43$20.52
10-30 04:02Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?BUY0.4263250609$10.00
10-30 03:05Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?SELL0.038226$5.73
10-30 03:05Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?SELL0.002$0.25
10-29 08:33Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?BUY0.048$5.95
10-29 08:00Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.6062730616$53.00
10-29 02:58Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?BUY0.06$9.00
10-28 03:591win FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.15$9.00