niunai
0x320d5204827f3f102854c80be5050c09816a6c36
- Realised P&L
- $-191.19
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $81.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.428 | 0.123 | $81.19 | −$200.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.68at 0.710Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$17.97at 0.890Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$13.41at 0.982Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?
- +$12.53at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$10.21at 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 10:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? | BUY | 0.978 | $606.36 |
| 04-17 09:17 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? | SELL | 0.957 | $113.89 |
| 03-23 09:39 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 02-28 05:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February? | SELL | 0.998 | $139.71 |
| 02-03 10:18 | Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0814018571 | $5.70 |
| 01-29 05:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9916161715 | $152.19 |
| 01-22 07:19 | Will Solana reach $170 in January? | SELL | 0.9716337115 | $29.97 |
| 01-22 07:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | SELL | 0.971 | $139.66 |
| 01-19 09:12 | Will Solana reach $180 in January? | SELL | 0.976 | $11.29 |
| 01-19 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9843613333 | $59.06 |
| 01-19 09:12 | Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January? | SELL | 0.985 | $59.10 |
| 12-29 05:06 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $132.61 |
| 12-29 05:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.46 |
| 12-29 05:02 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $102.15 |
| 12-06 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9839999997 | $30.04 |